Living Reviews in Solar Physics

"Solar Cycle Prediction"
by
Kristóf Petrovay  

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Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 The sunspot number
1.2 Other indicators of solar activity
1.3 The solar cycle and its variation
2 Precursor Methods
2.1 Cycle parameters as precursors and the Waldmeier effect
2.2 Polar precursors
2.3 Geomagnetic and interplanetary precursors
2.4 Flows in the photosphere
3 Extrapolation Methods
3.1 Linear regression
3.2 Spectral methods
3.3 Nonlinear methods
4 Model-Based Predictions
4.1 The solar dynamo: a brief summary of current models
4.2 Is model-based cycle prediction feasible?
4.3 Explicit models
4.4 Truncated models
4.5 The Sun as an oscillator
5 Summary Evaluation
6 Epilogue
7 Acknowledgements
Open References References
Footnotes
Updates
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