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When Jay, Rick, and I began the flux-transport simulations, we did not know if meridional flow was
present on the Sun, and we couched our language in phrases like, ‘meridional flow (if present) and diffusion
will do ...’. However, as time passed, it became clear that a better fit between simulations and observations
would be obtained if diffusion were assisted by a
poleward meridional flow. For each
problem, diffusion alone worked fairly well, but it always worked better if it were accompanied by
meridional flow.
The most persuasive arguments concerned the polar fields and the poleward surges of flux from the
sunspot belts. First, the topknot structure inferred by Svalgaard et al. (1978) could be explained as a
quasi-equlibrium between dispersal via supergranular diffusion and concentration by a poleward flow
(DeVore et al., 1984; Sheeley Jr et al., 1989). Second, ‘butterfly diagrams’ of the simulated field, such as
those shown in Figure 3
, did not reproduce the observed poleward surges of flux unless meridional flow was
included in the model (Wang et al., 1989a
; Sheeley Jr, 1992). In particular, Wang et al. (1989a) found
that enhanced eruption rates and accelerated flows were required to match the episodic poleward surges of
flux during sunspot cycle 21. Thus, we became confident that meridional flow was present even though the
Doppler measurements were near the limit of credibility, and we dropped the ‘if present’ from our
papers.
Seven years earlier, Topka et al. (1982) had reached the same conclusion from their analysis of the
poleward migration of H
filaments. In fact, their description was similar to that of Babcock (1961
) who
referred to large regions of trailing polarity drifting to the poles. But, except for Leighton (1964) and later
Giovanelli (1984), most researchers did not appreciate that supergranular diffusion was essential for
neutralizing the leading polarities and leaving those large regions of trailing polarity in each
hemisphere.
van Ballegooijen et al. (1998
) modified the flux-transport model to include the effect of diffusion
and flow on the horizontal component of the magnetic field. Their objective was to study the
formation of filament channels and to look for systematic chirality relations in the northern and
southern hemispheres of the Sun. Using a diffusion rate of
, a meridional flow
speed of
, and the Snodgrass (1983
) differential rotation formula, they obtained
good agreement with the longitudinally averaged radial magnetic field observed at the Kitt
Peak Observatory, and they reproduced the locations of the observed filament channels. The
model seemed to be less successful in predicting the chirality relations, but after modifying
the model further and increasing the diffusion rate to
, Mackay et al. (2000)
were able to recover the observed hemispheric dependence. As described in Section 6, Mackay
et al. (2002a
,b
) would eventually use the model to simulate the evolution of the Sun’s open
flux.
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Finally, with the link between flux-tube expansion in the corona and solar wind speed far from the Sun (Levine et al., 1977; Wang and Sheeley Jr, 1990a), it became possible to relate solar wind speed variations to the eruption and evolution of photospheric flux (Wang and Sheeley Jr, 1990b; Sheeley Jr and Wang, 1991). For example, it was shown that the small open-field regions that form in active region remnants at sunspot maximum are characterized by rapid flux-tube expansion and therefore produce relatively slow wind. On the other hand, the interaction between two holes of the same polarity results in flux tubes with very low expansion factors. Thus the wind originating from the equatorward extensions of the polar coronal holes is expected to be even faster than that from the poles, a prediction confirmed by Ulysses spacecraft measurements (Phillips et al., 1994).
Although the model had become a powerful tool for analyzing problems involving the large-scale
magnetic fields, it was still not universally accepted. Jan Stenflo (1989a,b, 1992
) argued that our
explanation for the quasi-rigid rotation could not be correct because, for short time lags, the
cross-correlations of the simulated field gave the quasi-rigid rotation rate. The model did not reproduce the
differential rate that Snodgrass (1983) obtained from cross-correlations of Mount Wilson daily
magnetograms. We argued that the Snodgrass differential rate was a consequence of small scale field
components, which, of course, are not contained in a diffusing large-scale field. But this argument had little
effect until we replaced the diffusion by a discrete random walk and obtained the Snodgrass rate for short
time lags (Wang and Sheeley Jr, 1994; Sheeley Jr and Wang, 1994). As we expected, the small-scale
features gave the Snodgrass differential rate and the large-scale features gave the quasi-rigid rate. The
quasi-rigid rotation could be understood in terms of surface motions alone, and no appeal to the unknown
subsurface field was needed.
Although the higher resolution of the random-walk approach provided an appealing match to the
resolution of the Mount Wilson magnetograms, we have not used it in our subsequent studies. The diffusion
approximation has been adequate for studying the evolution of the large-scale field. However, as mentioned
below, Schrijver (2001
) has developed a random-walk model whose resolution mimics that of
the Kitt Peak and Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) magnetographs, and which
also includes a procedure for simulating the initial breakup of flux concentrations in active
regions.
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